How record-high turnout in Iowa could upend the 2020 race

It might not be enough to blunt the momentum swinging nationally to Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. But for Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, high turnout in the Iowa caucuses may be their only chance.

“The winner is always who’s bringing a bunch of new [voters], said Sue Dvorsky, a former Iowa Democratic Party chairwoman who backed Sen. Kamala Harris before she dropped out of the race. "I will tell you this without a shadow of a doubt. If there is a large voter turnout — if working people and young people come out in large numbers — we will win and win big."“Because I will tell you this without a shadow of a doubt,” Sanders said. “If there is a large voter turnout — if working people and young people come out in large numbers — we will win and win big.”

“If the surge is younger, you have to think it helps Bernie and maybe Warren,” said Jeff Link, a Democratic strategist in Iowa. “If older Democrats and independents decide it’s worth participating this time, it probably helps Biden and maybe Buttigieg.” Former Vice President Joe Biden’s campaign pointed to rural areas of the state, saying a bigger draw there could potentially benefit him. | Mary Altaffer/AP Photo

Still, another Buttigieg adviser acknowledged that the spoils of high turnout could be split fairly evenly among the current top tier of candidates.

Still, the caucus system is not a secret ballot and has been discontinued everywhere else.

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