Oddsmakers have been crunching the numbers this spring, but remain uncertain if big offensive increases will continue into the regular season.
But what about specific markets? Are there any that the books think will be bigger liabilities because of the changes? “A lot of it will be a wait-and-see. Obviously, Spring Training won’t give us the data to immediately make any wholesale changes. The assumption that scoring could be higher can actually go both ways in my opinion," said Gray."The pitch clock, for example, will create less time for a pitcher to prepare, and also less time for the batter. That could even out in a lot of situations and actually, just leave the scoring rate as it is.
“Obviously, the bigger base means a shorter path to being safe,” Gray adds when asked if he expects more money on certain markets. “Does 4.5 inches matter that much? We’ll definitely likely see more stolen-base attempts and the two-pickoff limit for pitchers will add to that. It could result in more stolen bases, but that could be lessened with the increase of attempts rising, the number of times players get thrown out should, as well.
In addition to bases being 4.5 inches closer, pitch clocks will give base runners an edge because they know when a pitcher has to begin his delivery — and if the pitcher has already attempted his maximum of two pick-off attempts, that base runner can get very aggressive with primary and secondary lead-offs.
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