How Much Trump Could Help (Or Harm) Down-Ballot Republicans In November

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It’s unlikely that Pres. Trump or Joe Biden’s candidacy will make up all the difference in these key races—but for some down-ballot candidates, it might not hurt to grab hold of their presidential candidate’s coattails. More, via FiveThirtyEight:

In 2018, President Trump boosted Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’s bid. But what effect will Trump have in 2020 when he’s actually on the ballot?Looking ahead to November, the presidential race could decide more than just who the next president is. It could also determine which party controls the Senate or House or even a state’s legislature.

Political science has long tried to measure just how big of an effect this is, and most research does suggest that down-ballot candidates gain at least a few votes thanks to the performance of the candidate at the top of the ticket, but estimates vary as to the actual size of the coattail effect. For instance, in House races, where we have the most data, some studies have found anywhere from a 0.2-point to 0.

 

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FiveThirtyEight The state is moving from red to blue in southern counties. Seniors and Independents are moving away from realDonaldTrump and Congress Trumplicans.

FiveThirtyEight Vote By Mail it's save and saves Lives! 11,000,000 Floridians voted by mail in April and there wasn't one case of Fraud including the POTUS. It's more benefited for Republicans than Democrats in Florida.

FiveThirtyEight Imagine if Trump wasn't so hated because that's what the election is about personality. They could care less or the economy or corona they just want want Trump gone

FiveThirtyEight Media censoring Trump at live rocket launch

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