How bitcoin and ether will reach $100k and $10.5k, Fundstrat explains

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Fundstrat's head of digital assets research walks us through his $100,000 and $10,500 year-end price targets for bitcoin and ether — and shares the 8 tokens he's bullish on

, he analyzed market data such as the digital token's price, market cap, and supply; financial metrics including total payment volume, transaction fee revenue, and payment processing costs; key performance indicators like transaction take rate and active bitcoin wallet users; as well as valuation metrics such as value per user and cost-savings multiple. is a commodity-like token or digital gold as it's often called, there are a lot of costs that go into producing or mining it.

"I call it the Grider book value multiple these days," he said."It's just the market cap of bitcoin over what we estimate as total investment in it over the years via mining, and that's how I got to that $100,000 target for it."'s transaction fee revenue, which has been growing at a 1,099% 5-year compound annual growth rate, ended 2020 at around $600 million, according to Grider.

"Growing at a 1099% 5-year CAGR, and at 1624% year over year from 2019 to 2020, Ethereum is on pace to grow at 554% during 2021," he wrote in January 19 research note."This compares against 21x price to sales multiple and 38% growth for the Bessemer Venture Partners Emerging Cloud Index. On a growth adjusted basis, Ethereum trades at a Price-to-Earnings-Growth rate of 0.07x vs. 0.55x for the cloud comps.

"In there, you're going to find a lot of links, helpful explainers, and information tools generally," he said."You can also go to the block explorers and see if they are indeed generating these fees and if this contract is functioning as it says it does. You can tell, in real-time and block by block what the financials are on these networks."

 

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