Last week, the House of Representatives voted 217–213 to pass H.R. 1808, the so-called “Assault Weapons Ban of 2022.” The bill has no chance of advancing in the Senate, where it would need 60 votes to pass. The vote, then, was inconsequential in some sense, but potentially highly consequential in another.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi declared the bill “a crucial step in our ongoing fight against the deadly epidemic of gun violence in our nation.” But there’s plenty of reason to doubt even that broader claim as well. Third, evidence the 1994 assault weapons ban significantly reduced gun violence is at best mixed. “A recent evaluation of the short-term effects of the 1994 federal assault weapons ban did not reveal any clear impacts on gun violence outcomes,” observed the National Academies of Sciences in 2005.
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