Here's when ERCOT expects grid conditions to be at their tightest this winter in Texas

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The grid is most at risk during the morning.

SAN ANTONIO — Remember those energy conservation notices ERCOT issuedThe Public Utility Commission held its 2023 Winter Preparedness Work Session on Friday morning to discuss preparedness with power providers, transition companies and ERCOT executives. Pete Warnken, manager of resource adequacy for ERCOT, said cold winter mornings will pose the greatest challenge, according to their"You will see that the highest-risk period time is in the morning. I'm talking about December here.

If, however, Texas sees another winter storm such as last December's Winter Storm Elliott, which brought temperatures down to 16 degrees in San Antonio, there's a 17.89% chance of an EEA going out. Unfortunately, the sun isn't in position to effectively power solar panels until later in the morning, and wind generation starts to drop at the same time. The December report shows the grid may also have just enough dispatchable energy to cover the morning. The power grid regulator was also been working to add power to Texas' reserves at the beginning of October.

ERCOT Senior Weatherization Program Analyst Brandon Manley said power providers are now facing tougher preparedness standards, and ERCOT has been busy inspecting those providers to make sure those standards have been met. That could lead to fewer equipment issues this winter and fewer MW outages than forecasted.

 

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