Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Tonight’s MLB Game

The Guardians are due for regression as the injuries mount up, but the Red Sox are just as hobbled. Our MLB betting picks believe Cleveland will knock Boston down below the .500 mark tonight.

Cleveland took the first two contests in this four-game series but the Red Sox are expected to bounce back tonight with MLB odds installing them as -130 home favorites. Here are my best free Guardians vs. Red Sox predictions andare fifth in the majors in runs per game but are just 26th in barrel rate and 28th in hard hit rate, which suggests that regression is on the horizon.

The Red Sox have been subpar at the dish, ranking 23rd in the majors in batting average and 22nd in xwOBA . Their lineup is decimated by injuries with All-Star Trevor Story done for the year, Tyler O'Neill sidelined by a concussion, and Silver Slugger third baseman Rafael Devers the latest to join the IL after wrenching his knee last night.

Naylor has gone 2-for-9 at the plate with a pair of singles so far in this series. However, he has a history of performing well at Fenway, going 8-for-26 with four doubles in the previous two seasons. Naylor led the Guardians with a .489 slugging percentage last year and he hit 17 dingers and 31 doubles in just 121 games. He's been even better this season, slugging .603 with an xSLG of .584.

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