Germany’s ruling party takes a serious hit in two state elections

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The CDU had been expecting a rough night. But the blow delivered on March 14th by voters was brutal

, the Greens’ popular premier in Baden-Württemberg , will begin his third term, and in Rhineland-Palatinate Malu Dreyer of the Social Democrats will probably maintain her “traffic-light” coalition with the Greens and the liberal Free Democrats.

But the results could have national consequences, in two ways. First, Mr Kretschmann may now opt to eject the CDU, the Greens’ junior coalition partner in Baden-Württemberg, in favour of his own traffic-light arrangement. To do so would inevitably increase the speculation that such a coalition could take charge of Germany after the general election—meaning that Mrs Merkel’s party would leave government at the same time that she does.

The scandals have contributed to a broader sense of malaise, as bureaucratic snafus have slowed Germany’sand the government’s once-smooth handling of the pandemic has hit the buffers. Earlier this month, amid growing public displeasure with one of Europe’s tougher lockdowns, Germany’s leaders agreed on a reopening strategy even as caseload numbers were rising and more infectious strains of the coronavirus were spreading quickly.

All this presents Mr Laschet with a giant headache. After narrowly defeating a right-wing candidate for the party leadership in January Mr Laschet, a centrist in the Merkel mould, had started to win over some of his internal doubters. Yet outside the party he has done little to combat a growing reputation for complacency and listlessness.

At some point in the six weeks after Easter, Mr Laschet and Markus Söder, the leader of the CSU, are meant to decide which of them is to lead their two parties, which choose a joint chancellor-candidate, into the general election. The nominee will become odds-on to succeed Mrs Merkel. And yet the party may have further to fall, once German voters fully register the fact of the still-popular chancellor’s imminent departure.

 

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Not least of which is the crushing new wave of the COVID-19 pandemic's virus variants:

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Armin Laschit is uninspiring. After Angela Merkel, CDU decline is inevitable. CDU has selected a poor replacement. They need an impactful and charismatic leader like Merkel. Germany AngelaMerkle2 ArminLaschet ChristianDem987

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