Fueled By Suburbs, Democrats Are Poised For Gains In Key States, Analysis Finds

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A new report from the centrist Democratic group Third Way finds that Democrats have surged in the suburbs — and that could help them snag Michigan, Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina and Wisconsin.

And Democrats are on target to win a majority insuburbs, but preliminary estimates still show Republicans with a slim advantage statewide. But additional analysis is needed for Arizona.

In other words, based on this analysis and Democrats' current polling strength in the suburbs, they are on track to win Michigan and Pennsylvania and are on the precipice of doing so in Florida, North Carolina and Wisconsin. If in this fall's election, Joe Biden were to win Michigan and Pennsylvania and hold all of the states Hillary Clinton won in 2016 against President Trump, Biden would be at 268 electoral votes. That's just two electoral votes short of the majority needed to be president, meaning Biden would need just one more state to cross the 270 threshold.

Either way, this measure finds the water level has risen for Democrats up and down the ballot in key states. The findings establish the kind of baseline that Democratic campaigns would use to measure which voters are most likely to turn out for them or their opponent, or are persuadable.This analysis is not a poll and is not tied to a specific candidate. In some states, Trump is doing worse in surveys than this baseline measure shows.

 

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Who is contacted. No one I know and I know thousands.

I’m sorry. Who said it. Lol

I don’t think so

Good God, we can only hope and VOTE.

they run from the cities where their own policies failed, and are now 'surging' the burbs to transform them into Dem-ruled shitholes

Gotta go vote

so cool that a 'two' party system is deeply committed to 'justice,' 'equality,' 'freedom,' and 'democracy.' 🇺🇸

Third Way is NOT a TheDemocrats group.

I doubt the legitimacy of this 'centrist' Democratic group! Voters are NOT stupid! They know that if Biden is elected- good bye to Corporations/Jobs/Business/Entrepreneurship because JoeBiden does not know how business works. No business- No JOBS!

11:47 He was wrong then, he is wrong now. Leaning right loses elections.

3rd Way is BS. We are a 4th way think tank, which is like 3rd way, but with an extra way.

😂😂😂

Hey NPR, if y'all could figure out a way to encourage early voting and registration. That'd be fantastic. Just encouraging people to vote by Election Day isn't enough with the amount of suppression that is going to happen.

Intelligence is surging across America! We don't have to act like 3rd grade bullies with ZERO understanding of how a democracy works! Trump should get squashed and the complicit Republicans with him.

It’s all thanks to trump there’s no other choice and I do wish the Democrats would grow a goddamn spine

the arson looting and general rioting appeals to 'centrist democrats' ?

'centrist Democrat' Bwahahahahah

Bernie or bust 👊

Hey npr are any of your stories not a PR release for TheDemocrats?

TrumpKnewAndDidNothing RepublicansForBiden RepublicansAgainstTrump

And for that Donald Trump we thank you!

Ok

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