Florida State vs. Wake Forest score prediction by analytic model

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Fresh off a statement comeback victory against a ranked ACC rival, the conference-favorite Seminoles hit the road this weekend as No. 4 Florida State squares off against Wake Forest in college football's Week 9 action on Saturday. FSU has scored 30-plus points in 13 straight gamesNoles scored 21 ...

Fresh off a statement comeback victory against a ranked ACC rival, the conference-favorite Seminoles hit the road this weekend as No. 4 Florida State squares off against Wake Forest in college football's Week 9 action on Saturday.Noles scored 21 unanswered in 4th quarter after trailing Duke last weekDeacons lost 3 of the last 4 and didn't surpass 20 points in those gamesFlorida State vs.

How accurate is the model? So far, SP+ is 212-207-11 straight-up and 200-222-8 against the spread this season.Florida State is a 20.5 point favorite against Wake, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook, which set the total at 52.5 points for the game.If you're using this projection to bet on the game, you should take...Other analytic models also believe Florida State will win handily.

That includes the College Football Power Index, a computer predictive tool that uses data points from both teams to simulate games 20,000 times to pick winners. Florida State wins the game in 91.9 percent of the index's simulations, or 18,380 of the predictions in the model. Wake wins the remaining 8.1 percent of sims.

By taking the difference between each team's projected scoring margin per game, the computer predicts that Florida State will defeat Wake Forest by 23 points, enough to cover the line.

 

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