Florida Democrats look to abortion referendum for help but may not find it

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Florida Democrats haven’t won a Senate race since 2012. A referendum that would overturn the state’s near-total abortion ban and enshrine access to abortion in its constitution offers hope.

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, second from left, dances during a campaign visit to a senior center on May 30 in Miami. MIAMI — On a recent weekday morning, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, the leading Democratic candidate to unseat Republican Sen.

“It’s going to be really difficult, I think, for this measure to be a magic bullet to help Democrats,” said Dan Smith, a political science professor at the University of Florida who has long researched the impact of ballot initiatives. “I don’t see a lot of Republicans breaking rank and supporting Democratic candidates up and down the ballot over this issue.”

“They need 60 percent,” she added, referring to the ballot measure’s supporters. “I think they’re going to receive 60 percent of the vote. I need 50 plus one.” Florida has become “mecca for MAGA … it’s really difficult to find and look for any kind of a silver lining,” said Fernand Amandi, who helped shape former president Barack Obama’s Hispanic outreach in Florida and nationally in 2008 and 2012.Dan Kanninen, the Biden-Harris battleground states director, later walked back O’Malley Dillon’s comment, saying that the campaign believes Florida is “in play for President Biden and Democrats up and down the ballot.

“You’re going to see people across the political spectrum voting on this particular issue,” said Ashley Walker, general consultant to Florida Women’s Freedom Coalition, a bipartisan group pushing for the amendment’s passage. Mucarsel-Powell celebrates her heritage as an Ecuadorian-born Latina and touts being the first South American-born immigrant ever elected to Congress. But she emphasizes that she’s running on issues that resonate with all Floridians: high insurance rates, a housing affordability crisis and the future of Social Security and Medicare.On the campaign trail, she is focused on introducing herself to voters who may not have heard of her.

 

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