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Participation in the referendum was estimated to be between 17% and 18% of eligible voters, less than half the participation required for the result to be binding. Lorenzo Córdova, president of the National Electoral Institute, stressed that it was a statistical estimate based on a sampling of ballots, but with 95% reliability. He said the estimate indicated that better than 90% of those who did vote were in favor of López Obrador remaining in office.It was considered a safe bet.
Some in the opposition had called for voters to boycott. López Obrador’s Morena party was active in encouraging the president’s base to vote. The president has faced criticism that government officials and resources have promoted the referendum.Patricio Morales, an analyst at Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education, said the lack of awareness about the referendum and potential disinterest among voters could weigh on turnout.
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