Nate Silver, the founder and former editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight, released his election model on Wednesday, showing former President Donald Trump with a two in three chance to win the White House.According to a screenshot of what appears to be a paywalled portion of the forecast that has gone viral on X,Conversely, the statistician only gives Biden a 33.7 percent possibility, while he gives independent Robert F. Kennedy zero chance to win the election.
He also argued that the proximity between Trump and Biden in the popular vote portion of the model translates to a significant Trump advantage, Silver notes, per Mediaite:
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