Two weeks ago today, Donald Trump traveled to Kentucky for a campaign rally intended to benefit one man: Gov. Matt Bevin . The president told the unpopular governor, on the eve of his re-election bid, “[I]f you lose, they’re going to say, ‘Trump suffered the greatest defeat in the history of the world. This was the greatest.’” Trump told local voters, “You can’t let that happen to me.
The similarities between Kentucky and Louisiana are hard to miss. A southern red state where Trump won easily? Check. A competitive gubernatorial race? Check. A Republican nominee who went out of his way to be as Trump-like as possible? Check. A campaign in which the president personally invested considerable amounts of time, effort, and political capital? Check.
Yes, the GOP candidate won in Mississippi, but even there, the gubernatorial race was the closest the state had seen in two decades. Indeed, the president has been working from the assumption that an electoral backlash to Congress’ impeachment inquiry would inevitably give the GOP an enormous boost. There’s no evidence such a backlash exists – and ample evidence to the contrary. Similarly, Trump has assumed he has the political sway to simply bark orders in ruby-red states, and the local electorates will follow his instructions. Obviously, they won’t.
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