Sankey chart showing how many voters who went against Prop. E ended up supporting Prop. A, and vice verse. Chart by Will Jarrett.and the final results are all but assured. Digging deeper into the data can help us understand both this election, and maybe a little about the upcoming November contest.
On the flip side, 79 percent of voters who were against Prop. E, and 82 percent of voters who were against Prop. F, supported Prop. A. Although in the minority, this anti-E-and-F progressive contingent voted strongly enough for affordable housing that the proposition passed, with 70.1 percent of the overall vote.Charts by Will Jarrett.
. This is not high by any standard, but whether it is “middling” or “low” depends on what you compare it to. In the Tenderloin — an area at the center of the city’s fentanyl crisis, where approximately 30 percent of residents have a— some 60 percent of voters supported F, making them more in favor than the city at large. Similarly, 57 percent of Tenderloin voters supported E, compared to 54 percent of the city overall.
This may indicate that name recognition, on top of slate membership, is a very significant factor to many voters. While many of the successful Democrats for Change candidates were relatively unknown, suggesting that strong support for the slate got them over the line, four of the six progressives elected to the committee — Connie Chan, John Avalos, Jane Kim and Gordon Mar — are either supervisors or ex-supervisors.
Those voters, however, are more likely to know the smaller pool of supervisorial hopefuls come November, changing the electorate and making March an interesting but imperfect predictor.DATA REPORTER. Will was born in the UK and studied English at Oxford University. After a few years in publishing, he absconded to the USA where he studied data journalism in New York. Will has strong views on healthcare, the environment, and the Oxford comma.
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