Additionally, thewhich Dr. Saad al Jabri filed earlier this month in the US District Court for the District of Columbia is set to further damage the Crown Prince’s image in Washington, particularly among Biden and his fellow Democrats along with elite figures within America’s foreign policy establishment.
In sum, officials in Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, and Manama detested the previous administration’s perceived sympathy for Islamists and Iran, as well as its limited and selective support for democratic reforms in the wider Arab world. The five smaller GCC members lack any strategic depth, thus their leaders are fully aware of how disastrous it would be for their own security if a new war involving Iran breaks out in the Gulf. With Trump in the Oval Office, that is always a risk.of Washington returning to the JCPOA, which would lead to the US easing some pressure on Tehran. Kuwait, Oman, and Qatar genuinely favoured the nuclear accord and did not express support for Trump pulling the US out of the Iran nuclear deal.
If Biden enters the Oval Office in January, Riyadh may have to work with a new US administration that pressures the Saudis to pull out of Yemen. The Saudis would not want to end their operations before the Houthis make certain compromises that would enable Saudi Arabia to exit without worries about what could result from the Iranian-backed Ansarullah movement feeling emboldened.
Libya is another war-torn Arab country where the US may take a different approach if Biden takes the helm. Whereas Trump has mainly outsourced Washington’s Libya foreign policy to GCC members, European allies, and Russia, Biden might boost US support for the Turkish and Qatari-backed Government of National Accord .
Looking ahead past November, the relative decline in Washington’s geopolitical influence in the Middle East is set to continue. This will be the case regardless of whether Trump or Biden wins the election.
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