prioritize hospital burden rather than community transmission. Citywide case rates are now, on average, over 200 cases per 100,000 residents over the past seven days — the threshold needed to automatically qualify as medium risk by the CDC.
“We're able to make generalizable estimates among people by age, by gender, by race, ethnicity, by education, status, income, and borough. We also looked at vaccination status as well,” said Dr. Denis Nash, an epidemiology professor at City University of New York, who led the study. “We can look at the extent to which vulnerable New Yorkers were infected during the surge, the people that we're trying to protect.
From there, the CUNY team built weighted averages for how many infections occurred, estimating that 27% of city adults — about 1.8 million — caught the BA.1 omicron subvariant during those opening months of the year. Last week, the CDC came to a similar conclusion“If you look at the CDC data, they estimate between 10% and 30% of people in the U.S. were infected during the omicron surge,” Nash said. “Our estimates are kind of in line and suggest it's a bit higher.
People ages 25-34 had the highest prevalence, with 37% estimated to have been infected with BA.1 omicron.
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