The Cubs and Diamondbacks combined for 23 runs yesterday and with two suspect starters taking the mound this afternoon, our MLB betting picks are expecting the bats to tell the story once more.
Pfaadt pitched a gem at home in his season debut against a weak Rockies lineup but he's struggled in his last two outings, surrendering 15 hits and 11 earned runs across 11 2/3 innings. As a rookie last year, he pitched to a 5.72 ERA with an OBA of .282 across 18 starts although he did show improvement in the postseason.
Despite the absence of top hitter Seiya Suzuki, the Cubbies still picked up eight extra-base hits last night and they should do their part to cash the Over today. While Walker has a modest slugging percentage of .418 this season, he's been hitting the ball well and should start to see positive regression. He's in the Top 10th percentile in hard-hit rate and barrel rate, and his expected slugging percentage sits at a more impressive .474.
Taking the Over on the game total and Walker's total bases while also betting the Over on Wicks' strikeouts prop creates a nice multiplier for this SGP. The D-backs opened as -115 favorites for this game and early money came in on them, shifting the line to -125 before buyback on the Cubs brought it back to -120.
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