” of new infections. Such efforts resulted in mandatory lockdowns for some 3.9bn people in 92 countries by April 8th, according to data compiled by the Blavatnik School of Government at Oxford University.. This week Spain allowed some factory and construction workers to go back to work. Austria permitted some non-essential shops to reopen; Germany will do the same next week. Denmark reopened primary schools and nurseries after over a month of lockdown.
Timing the process is tricky; countries want to make sure that infections are decreasing convincingly before ending lockdowns. One problem is that countries have adopted vastly different testing regimes, so may have only imperfect information on the prevalence of the virus. Britain, for example, has tested just 341,000 of its citizens to date; Germany, a country with just 23% more people, has tested 1.7m, or more than five times as many.
Even so, counting the number of confirmed new cases can provide a leading indicator of where a country’s epidemic is heading, assuming that testing systems remain more or less constant. Our charts above are smoothed using a seven-day moving average, and are adjusted for the size of a country’s population to allow cross-country comparisons, imprecise as they may be.
Although a country’s absolute levels of infection by this measure may be unreliable, the shape of its epidemic curve is telling. Some countries appear to be past the worst. Of the 16 rich countries shown in the chart above, ten show decreasing rates of new infections following a clear peak. In Austria, new cases topped out three weeks ago and the current rate of infections is now 80% below the peak.
For the countries in our sample, lockdowns have already been in place for about a month. But the fight against the coronavirus is likely to be a long one. Where new infections have peaked, they have done so some 15 days after lockdown, on average; some are still rising. The maximum death tolls come some weeks after the peak in infections. And bringing the infections under control will take longer still.
A resurgence A second wave It's already here. Yesterday was the day with most daily cases...
The rich world, what a scam.
Wow, thanks for the informal lesson in virology. Geniuses.
Aka, the global economy is done out here!
Says who
I was always taught that if you use graphs to illustrate something don't use different variations of measurements. That's very misleading, especially given successful nations seem excluded
Hey, China! Is that you talking? WHO, is that you? Something is sounding very familiar, don’t you think? 😂😂😂
Yawn
Vaccinate the 1% for public safety
exactly
ESPAÑA🇪🇸 EN MANOS DEL PSICÓPATA DE SÁNCHEZ. TERMINAMOS COMO VENEZUELA
You're contributing to the decimation of your own revenue stream with this constant hysteria. How many more layoffs before realizing you're the author of your own destruction? Whoever runs digital should be next on the chopping block.
More fear mongering for a germ that we now know is not as contagious and is not as deadly...knock it off!
true
😕
FearIsTheVirus
Then why do turkey have that success rate and United States don't then we need to look into that thank you
I didn’t have to read the article to realise that. Likewise, even without the graphs it’s clear that the only way to snuff the epidemic out completely would be to develop a successful therapeutical treatment or a vaccine that would provide herd immunity.
Plandemic
Not really, with good, widespread herd immunity. That you cannot achieve, blindly locking down also the strong and the younger, which are statistically extremely resilient and that might be just be isolated from the vulnerable ones.
Good to read.
Herd immunity will come into play eventually.
WHO said that it might become endemic... So yes, it will be with us forever. At least it will be a really low danger for us. Like the flu for example
Can't have a resurgence if it never goes away
If there is no drug how come Turkey has 101.715 RECOVERED patients? From 143.114 confirmed cases?! MAYBE THEY KOW SOMETHING that we don't!?🧐
Really hey! Wow! Such valuable insight! Who would have guessed.... Panic peddling dorks!!
No surprise. Corona viruses tend to be seasonal.
You know, this list of white only countries makes me think, how is the majority of the world doing?
Canada, Russia, China, Saudi Arabia, Japan, South Korea and Israel don't fall in this category of Rich?
GuirelliSabrina
No Canada, curious why not. I believe Canada adds to the point you were making. Iypts alright though.
Elyasoov
If containment works to reduce the rate of contagion - what contorted logic makes one believe that reducing containment will also reduce the rate of infection?
This is great. Hopefully death curves will follow. Below today's update (thread).
Curve is asymmetrical, recovery will take significant time...
This is fake and does not agrees with John Hopkins data. Please stop
Why not include Canada, a rich, G7 country?🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦
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