A seminal US intelligence report warns that climate change would “exacerbate risks” to national security and “fuel global tensions,” with countries in Asia, Latin America, and the Middle East especially at risk from climate-driven instability.is a picture of a world failing to cooperate, leading to dangerous competition and instability. Poorer countries will be less able to adapt to climatic disruption, increasing the risks of instability and internal conflict.
“Intensifying physical effects will exacerbate geopolitical flashpoints, particularly after 2030, and key countries and regions will face increasing risks of instability and need for humanitarian assistance.” One of the main risks from instability in developing countries is the spillover of refugee flows, sparking an intense humanitarian and migratory crisis.
Another source of risk is that countries might decide to implement geo-engineering to counter climate change, which involves atmospherically invasive technology that is governed by few rules or regulations.
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