The toughest part in trying to gauge the potential impact of the first presidential debate is trying to figure out which candidate needs this more. A month ago, the answer was obvious: President Joe Biden. His team wouldn’t have pushed to hold an earlier debate if it hadn’t come to the conclusion that it needed to do something to shake up this race before the fall. But one conviction on 34 counts later and it’s not nearly as clear now which candidate needs this debate more.
And Trump has already seen the downside of being too mean-spirited and bully-ish on the debate stage against Biden during the last election. So while both campaigns would love nothing more than for this debate to showcase the other candidate’s chief weaknesses, it takes a skilled debater to make that happen. And neither one of these candidates has shown that kind of nimbleness in the recent past. Ironically, the best debates of Biden’s professional life were all in 2007 and 2008.
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