China employing 'gray zone tactics' at contested Second Thomas Shoal, Lowy Institute's Yaacob says

Beijing is employing "gray zone tactics" against the Philippines in the South China Sea, says Lowy Institute's Rahman Yaacob, following a recent clash at a contested shoal.

Chinese Coast Guard vessels fire water cannons towards a Philippine resupply vessel Unaizah May 4 on its way to a resupply mission at Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea, March 5, 2024. China said the United States must refrain from "stirring up trouble" or taking sides on the South China Sea issue, after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said a security deal with the Manila extended to attacks on the Philippine coast guard.

Speaking to CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia" on Monday, Yaacob, Southeast Asia Program research fellow at the Lowy Institute, said that while China was testing its boundaries at the Shoal, it has strategically avoided triggering a wider conflict despite the latest escalation. Gray zone tactics refer to "coercive actions that are shy of armed conflict but beyond normal diplomatic, economic, and other activities," according to Rand Corporation.with India in a disputed region of the Himalayas. While 20 Indian soldiers were killed, weapons were not fired, and it did not escalate into a direct military conflict, Yaacob pointed out.

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