The Steelers are minus-0.7 in yards per play differential and are the first playoff team since the 2017 Bills to have fewer than 5 yards per play on offense.
This spread is not only deserved, but I think should be even higher. These two teams just played Dec. 26, and Kansas City won 36-10. That spread was Kansas City -10 even though the Chiefs had a lot of COVID-19 concerns. The Chiefs outgained the Steelers 5.7 to 4.3 in the yards per play department. Pittsburgh scored one touchdown in four red-zone trips, while the Chiefs scored four touchdowns in six trips. Patrick Mahomes was hit only three times and the two sacks were for just 4 yards.
In that game, Tampa Bay was on the road and had a 186-yard edge. The Bucs had 27 first downs to 16 for the Eagles. It was a pretty thorough beating, especially when you consider that Tampa Bay ran 26 more offensive plays.
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