De'Andre Hunter's naturally seen an uptick in his usage since Trae Young went down, but our NBA picks are finding even more value in a recent split that's worth hunting as the Hawks host the Celtics tonight.
That all makes sense. Of course, there were more shots from range to be had when one of the most prolific shooters in the NBA went to the bench. And it is not too shocking that Hunter is taking an additional tough 3-pointer per game, rather than an open look, without Young spacing the floor.Hunter’s usage rate was 19.8% before Young’s injury and 22.8% since. Hold on, that undersells it, because it took Hunter a week or so to lean into his bigger role. Since March 1, his usage rate has been 23.
There is worrying juice on this prop, but an argument can be made it is nowhere near high enough. Realizing Hunter’s lowest usage rate since March 15 was last night’s 22.5%, percentage points from the wanted threshold in this conversation, this prop should start being juiced past -200.How many ways can you repackage the same bet into one same-game parlay? Because all three legs of this are effectively the same bet.
In six of those eight games, Murray handed out at least nine assists, averaging 9.6 assists in that stretch. In the last five games of Hunter enjoying such a high usage rate, Murray has cleared this prop in each and averaged 11.2 assists per game.This spread opened at a more reasonable -12.5 on Wednesday evening before climbing as high as -17.5 in the dark of night.
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