Can the A's really draw 2.5 million people in Las Vegas?

on Monday, with the owners of the Tropicana Hotel land announcing they had reached agreement with the team to reserve nine acres of that 35-acre site for a ballpark on the Las Vegas Strip.

The deal is contingent on “the passing of legislation for public financing and related agreements,” and state legislators are expected to learn exactly how much taxpayer money the A’s seek as soon as Monday. According to a, the A’s would pay rent to play in the ballpark, and the owners of the site would retain the ability to develop the rest of the site.

Two numbers jumped out from the statement: The ballpark would hold “approximately 30,000 fans” and is expected to attract “more than 2.5 million fans and visitors annually.”In other words, the A’s are projecting sellouts for just about every game. Good luck with that.The right thing to do is for Oakland A’s to stay in the city of Oakland and open up the team for bidding for an owner who wants to keep the team there.

First, the math: If you sell 30,000 tickets to 81 home games plus two preseason games, you get 2.49 million. The ballpark no doubt will host other events, including concerts, although the sheer number of venues already available in Las Vegas will limit those opportunities for the A’s. Still, you can understand the projection.smallest media market

in the major leagues, in a market where the NFL and NHL already are there and the NBA could follow soon. They would need a lot of fans from the booming communities outside Las Vegas itself — that might be doable; the triple-A team there is aBut the A’s would not have the capacity to balance smaller crowds on some nights with larger crowds when high-profile teams like the Dodgers, New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs roll into town.

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