The first warning comes from the gap between two-year and 10-year benchmark U.S. bond yields. This spread has fallen by two-thirds in three months to below 0.4 percentage points and is approaching levels that often serve as early warning of an economic contraction. The second comes from money market prices. They imply that the target fed funds rate, currently at a record low of 0-0.25%, will peak at a little over 2%.
Neither presumption may be reliable. The Fed has been tardy in reacting to the surge in U.S. annual inflation to a four-decade high of 7.5%. And even policymakers who have previously supported a less aggressive stance, like San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, have recently changed their tune . But rate-setters know that two mistakes won’t cancel out. They will be vigilant for signs of slowing economic growth and ready to slow or pause rate hikes.Meanwhile, investors may be overestimating how easily the Fed can bring U.S. inflation back down. Some forces that have driven up consumer prices, such as supply-chain disruptions, may dissipate, though a reversal of the recent oil-price surge will depend on what happens in Ukraine. Other factors won’t fade away.
The extra uncertainty thrown into the mix by Russian President Vladimir Putin makes forecasting even more difficult than usual. Safe-haven Treasuries have suddenly become more appealing. But that doesn’t mean they are a reliable compass for the future.
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Russia-Ukraine Live Updates: Ukraine says U.S. promised defense weaponsPresident Joe Biden announced a new round of sanctions against Russia Tuesday. Follow Newsweek's liveblog for the latest. Oh no no no we can get drug into another conflict Sounds good Uh can we not if we give them weapons putin can make a argument saying he was killed by American weapons
Source: Newsweek - 🏆 468. / 52 Read more »
Russia-Ukraine Live Updates: Canadian 'military aid' arrives in UkrainePresident Joe Biden announced a new round of sanctions against Russia Tuesday. Follow Newsweek's liveblog for the latest. Already? that was fast Trudeau has lost him mind. Doesn't anyone else care. Canada fully supports NATO and democracy. Too bad the Republican Party doesn’t.
Source: Newsweek - 🏆 468. / 52 Read more »
Russia-Ukraine Live Updates: Putin announces military operation in UkraineThe U.S. announced a new round of sanctions against Russia Tuesday as Russia evacuates its embassy in Kyiv and Ukraine declares a state of emergency. How about some real sanctions and real consequences!!! Not the fluff your peeing on my leg and telling me it’s raining !! A few oligarchs Come on !! Freeze all imports/exports / revoke residency in EU /USA . Hit the average Russian . Putin will now have to deal with civil war USSR dissolved, but US turns former USSR states into its military axis: NATO. Ukraine was next. 80% of Russian gas to Europe crossed Ukraine, so Russia built alternative pipelines. In '21, US dictated Euro can't use a new line- causing this war. LIE=pipeline blocked AFTER war There will be all kinds of threatening gestures, but Russia will not invade Ukraine. 6 reasons why Russia won't invade Ukraine and what does Putin really want
Source: Newsweek - 🏆 468. / 52 Read more »
Russia-Ukraine updates: Putin announces military operation in UkraineRussian President Vladimir Putin announced early Thursday local time that military operations had begun in Ukraine, kicking off a long-feared attack on their European neighbor. LIVE UPDATES: save_video Below is a list of major Russian banks. Let's start sending spam. A LOT of spam: unicreditunicredit.ru sberbanksberbank.ru infovtb.ru mailboxgazprombank.ru mailalfabank.ru smisovcombank.ru infopsbank.ru officershb.ru prraiffeisen.ru infommbank.ru
Source: ABC - 🏆 471. / 51 Read more »
Russia-Ukraine: What to know as explosions boom over UkraineHere are the things to know about the conflict over Ukraine and the security crisis in Eastern Europe. God be with the people of Ukraine. Amen Here are the things to know about Putin's conflict over Ukraine and the security crisis in Eastern Europe. It's not a conflict. It's an attack be Russia and its dictator.
Source: chicagotribune - 🏆 8. / 91 Read more »
Russia-Ukraine updates: Russia claims it neutralized Ukraine military infrastructure“We condemn in the strongest possible terms Russia’s unprecedented military aggression against Ukraine,” European Council Pres. Charles Michel and European Commission Pres. Ursula von der Leyen say in a joint statement. en_germany Till when will they keep barking while the bear is already on fears rampage? 🤷♂️🤷♂️🤷♂️ US made this diaster ,EU suffers it . China sure is rather quiet. Any reason(s) why? Waiting to make its' move on Taiwan? Then what?
Source: ABC - 🏆 471. / 51 Read more »