Chris Bassitt has quietly turned a corner since April, stepping up as one of the Blue Jays' most consistent starters over his last seven outings. He's a big reason why I expect this afternoon's game vs. the Brewers to go Under the total.
The Brewers have fared better with the sticks for the most part but have scored two runs or fewer in six of their last eight games. hasn't typically pitched deep into games, but he's been stretched out a bit, hitting 100 pitches over eight shutout innings in his last start for the best outing of his brief career. Now, he can't be counted on another spotless performance, but Toronto's bats haven't given us any reason to believe in a sudden breakout.
Alternately, the first five innings O/U of 4.5 is available at even money at PROLINE+, which is a fine alternative if Toronto's bullpen scares you.
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