Who should Sanders be worried about beating him with black voters? The obvious answers are Sens. Cory Booker and Harris, the two prominent black candidates in the race. But the Democrat who is really popular with African Americans right now is former Vice President Joe Biden. In the recent Morning Consult polling, Biden was viewed favorably by 77 percent of black Democrats, with just 8 percent viewing him unfavorably.
Morning Consult found Biden getting 40 percent of the vote among a national sample of about 2,900 black Democrats, with Sanders at 24 percent, Harris at 11 and Booker at 6.conducted from March 21-25 similarly found Biden with 44 percent support among black Democrats, with Sanders in second among the 2020 candidates at 17 percent.
In the Morning Consult data, Biden gets a bit more support among black voters than he does from the electorate overall. Harris and Booker overperform a bit with black voters too. Notably, while Sanders doesn’t overperform with black voters, he doesn’t underperform either. In any case, it’s way too early to predict which candidates will ultimately do well with black Democratic primary voters — or primary voters overall. We don’t know even know yet if Biden is running. Still, I don’t think we should completely discount Biden’s early strength with black voters either.
Looking to next year, you could imagine five or six candidates staying in race through the first dozen primaries or so. Maybe several of them, including Sanders, get significant chunks of the black vote and no one really consolidates it. That’s a good scenario for the Vermont senator if he maintains his base of younger voters.
FiveThirtyEight It's the law that black voters must vote for a democrat. Any democrat. If they vote for gop they're called every racist name a liberal can think of.
FiveThirtyEight like President Trump who has done more for the blacks than any other president fake media won't report it
FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight BLEXIT
FiveThirtyEight Must be a full minute since ABC(D) last divisive identity politics tweet.
FiveThirtyEight And ABC continues the race thing. How about a some voters find Bernie Sanders platform just fine. But are looking to find better solution providers in Candidates. So sick of black white etc. It is old and harmful. KNOCK IT OFF
FiveThirtyEight Wisdom: Voter profiling is awesome, criminal profiling is an abomination.
FiveThirtyEight And you know what maybe you are right because we haven’t heard a blk agenda from him. So I might vote for him but not before I look at all the people running first and make an informed decision then but I see you Bernie but I also heard what you said. Side eyeing u.
FiveThirtyEight blacks are seeing the democratic party for what they really are closet racists who only cares about the black vote not black people Trump2020 Blacks4Trump
FiveThirtyEight People don’t understand. Bernie should have been the Dems nominee in 2016. He was proved to have been screwed by the DNC and Hillary. Scales tipped. Unfair and stupid and we got Trump. We still back the best candidate to beat Trump, Bernie. Look at quantity of donations. Wake up!
FiveThirtyEight This seems a little defensive.
FiveThirtyEight Yea they might actually like a candidate who sees them as a person rather than vote and has brought their UE rate to record low due to giving them more freedom. Socialism only hurts the poor and middle class and benefits the rich n well connected.
FiveThirtyEight The more people know to get Bernie’s policies and history the less they link him. He’s an embarrassment.
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