Next week's off-year elections could provide a preview of 2024 for President Joe Biden, regardless of whether he faces former President Donald Trump in 12 months.
Dan Palazzolo, interim dean of the University of Richmond's School of Arts and Sciences, agreed Biden's low approval ratings undermine him as"an asset" to Democratic candidates in competitive elections. Nationally, Biden's average approval-disapproval is net negative 15 percentage points, 41%-56%, per RealClearPolitics, as he experiences tensions, even with blue state governors, regarding, for instance, immigration.
"I doubt it's anything different than what is afflicting him nationally," Kondik said."Near the end of the 2021 campaign, Biden did an event for Terry McAuliffe in Arlington. If this was a true statewide election, I could see an event in a deep blue place making some sense. But it's a district-by-district race, and the key districts are outside of the really blue — or red — places.
Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee spokesman Abhi Rahman, too, contended his party overperformed expectations for the 2022 midterms and has"won every special election so far in 2023."
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