Naz Reid has become an important piece to the success Minnesota has had this year, and our NBA picks expect him to get buckets in what could be the final game against the Suns.Injuries have tilted one Eastern Conference first-round series on its head, but the rest of Sunday’s quadruple-header looks largely healthy. Finding value in specific players in those other games can be a bit tougher, but there is value in NBA player props today, nonetheless.
He did pour in 42 in Friday’s overtime loss and did so relatively efficiently, but that has been the only time in now 15 games in which Middleton scored 25 or more points. And he had Lillard demanding much of Indiana’s attention. It was only logical to inflate Middleton’s points prop because Lillard is out with an Achilles injury, but it is also only logical to doubt Middleton will take 29 shots again, even without Milwaukee’s two bigger stars. He has taken more than 16 shots only one other time in the 14 preceding games. Scoring 27 points on 16 shots would be a bit of a shock and a reason why I'm fading thesefor 8.5 points are juiced to the Over in the -125 to -135 range.
The Phoenix Suns need to try something different tonight. Their season is effectively over, but until it is literally so, they need to get creative. The obvious adjustment they have not implemented yet would be to play more minutes with Kevin Durant at the five.
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