Atlantic hurricane season shows no signs of slowing | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

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Did yours make the list? SEE: The current list of remaining 2021 Atlantic tropical cyclone *names*, as chosen by the WMO. Download it at: HurricaneOutlook HurricaneSeason ItOnlyTakesOne NWS NWSCPC

The latest outlook reflects that the number of expected named storms is 15-21, including 7-10 hurricanes , of which 3-5 could become major hurricanes . This updated outlook includes the 5 named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest 5th named storm on record.Download Image

NOAA scientists predict that the likelihood of an above-normal 2021 Atlantic hurricane season is 65%. There is a 25% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. Atlantic sea surface temperatures are not expected to be as warm as they were during the record-breaking 2020 season; however, reduced vertical wind shear and an enhanced west Africa monsoon all contribute to the current conditions that can increase seasonal hurricane activity. These conditions are set against the backdrop of the ongoing warm phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation, which has been favoring more active hurricane seasons since 1995.

 

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WMO NWS NWSCPC When will hurricane's be named after the moons, planets, stars, and constellations? 'Here comes Hurricane Saturn, spinning rings of rain along the coastlines!'

NWS NWSCPC Every day our Hurricane Hunter Satellites are not in orbit, I die just a little bit. Last July, I thought we'd be up by this hurricane season. Now I wonder if we will be up in 2022. Seems no one in vc is interested in saving lives and making a few hundred million doing it.

NWS NWSCPC Local weather reporters will turn this into '21 CATEGORY 5 HURRICANES SCHEDULED TO COME UP IH 45!!!! Stay tuned to our Ultra Mega Giganto Severe Weather Center.'

NWS NWSCPC So you get to update your predictions, kind of a contradiction in terms

Research NWS NWSCPC The science of predicting future weather events is amazing!

WMO NWS NWSCPC Mine never makes the list. 🙄

NWS NWSCPC Will Henri, Ida or Julian be the one for this year?

NWS NWSCPC CartoFront 👀 ToppingCapital

NWS WMO NWSCPC Yay for having a unique name that will never be a tropical storm. 🎉

NWS WMO NWSCPC NEXT SEASON SHOULD ALL BE SIMPSONS CHARACTERS

NWS WMO NWSCPC Hopefully Teresa won't make an appearance while on on a beach along the Forgotten Coast! Cuz there will be a battle of Teresa's! Michael in 2018 taught me!

NWSCPC WMO NWS Every year and no 'Joseph' for J. Hmmm, perhaps I missed it one year.

NWS WMO NWSCPC I still don't understand why we tie people's first names to disastrous storms? A cruel burden of reminder for some unfortunate names that connects with the worst and most deadly.

NWS WMO NWSCPC Ahem. We don't have 'cyclones' here, we have hurricanes.

NWS NWSCPC Less than usual?

NWS NWSCPC hmmmmm traderjon01

NWS NWSCPC Way above average! Guarantee.

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