Analysis | Trump goes into election season facing a steeper climb than the past three incumbent presidents

President Trump waves to the crowd on March 2. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow March 5 at 9:20 AM People are frustratingly fickle. While democracy would probably suffer if the only people allowed to vote were robots who were incapable of changing their opinions, it would certainly make political prognostication simpler.

But here we get to the robot issue: People change their minds and circumstances change. Clinton ended up winning, of course, earning 11 percentage points more in the actual vote than the 1995 poll indicated. For Bush, who had a broad lead on this metric, things narrowed dramatically. First, let’s look at another number that’s not good news for Trump: Independents are 18 percentage points more likely to say they’ll vote against Trump than vote for him. Democrats plan to oppose him and Republicans to vote for him . But those independent numbers seem ... problematic.

It has to be made an impossible climb. The country cannot survive 8 years of Trump. Its questionable what calamity will befall us by 2020 much less 2024. We must put an end to our drift into fascism and must reclaim our democracy.

And he will come out on top and win.

Wait for it,,,, last minute 2020 replacement! 🤣😂🤣😂🤣🤣

He is also facing winning 350 Electoral votes. Ouch.

I’ve heard that 2 years ago.

I have no doubt that it will be an easy re-election for President Trump. Thank you Lord for our President

And Hillary Clinton won the 2016 Election‼️

It’s going to be hilarious when Trump wins 2020

Donald Trump has my VOTE in 2020.

Hello fake news!

And that, folks, is how you put a spin on the truth. Bezos sucks and so do the people that work for him. Boycott Amazon and WholeFoods and do the whole world some good.

Trump has COST taxpayers a BILLION $ in security FOR his family Cost taxpayers BILLIONS of dollars in LOST PROFITS for American businesses. Tax SCHEME for RICH WAS a sham on the BACKS of the POOR & MIDDLE CLASS. CHAOS AFTER CHAOS, Lawsuits after lawsuits. THINK TRUMP is a problem

Let me guess, there's a 94% chance he won't win? Heard that one before.

He’s President 45 and WashPo evaluates only **3** because that supports their anti-Trump narrative. YellowJournalism

The TAX SCHEME for RICH is yielding no benefits for POOR & MIDDLE CLASS. Trade WARS and Tarriffs have COST taxpayers BILLIONS. Lost heathcare & jobs. No 1 VOTING FOR Republicans

Washington Post is the epitome of FakeNews. EnemyOfThePeople FactsMatter 👇👇all you need for a 2020 LANDSLIDE

Has anyone given any thought to what if Trump loses in 2020? As an unhinged Lame Duck President, supported by the Cult GOP, he could declare a State of Emergency, declare the election Void, institute Military Law and shut down the internet. This is within a realm of an end game.

Funny STUFF, Red STATES hurt themselves listening to Don the Con. Trade WARS and Tarriffs have COST farmers to go out of business. Took affordable HEALTHCARE, Interest rates UP and inflation. The tax scheme THAT ONLY benefits THE RICH has LEFT POOR & MIDDLE CLASS with no refunds

realDonaldTrump PressSec POTUS EricTrump EricTrumpFdn IvankaTrump jaredkushner DonaldJTrumpJr FLOTUS MELANIATRUMP WhiteHouse WomenForCohen VP SecondLady

Nothing to report today? How about Ocasio's money problem?

He is standing atop a mountain of Americans he's fucked. Putin will guarantee his re-election.

No not really he’s in a way better spot now his approval numbers are at 46 nbc and 52 Rasmussen and his base is way bigger than it was and the economy is booming even cnn said if it was still booming in 2020 trump will win and he will ,watch. He’s been fantastic and most know it.

Not buying it !!!

Running a campaign from prison is a very steep climb.

Fake news, Washington Compost.

And yet all of them won

FYI: USA has 3,141 counties. Trump won 3,084. Clinton won 57.2.There R 62 counties n New York State.Trump won 46. Clinton won 16. 3.Clinton won the popular vote by approx. 1.5 million votes.[not counting faux votes] rats on top of rats in the 316 square miles out of 3,747,000

He shouldn’t even be allowed to run. He rigged the election to win the first time.

Prayers for the victims and families in Alabama

Well , hope there are no Russian cyber criminals abusing the American electoral system this time :)

POTUS 2020-KAG!

Yet even leftist bias polls show he's going to win.

Well if the post said it, It must be true. However didn’t the Post also having HRC winning by a landslide? Yeah umm ok.

Anal ysis......?

Hussein's propaganda machine!!! 'He will claim Kenya citizenship to escape' - Q

Not really. Overall average is 52% approval.

Untrue

Same people that said Hillary would win. Dumb as a rock

FakeNews no longer relevant.

THIS COUNTRY IS IN DIRE NEED OF A NEW PRESIDENT

Trump is gonna OWN whoever attempts to run against him. He’s a gem 💎 MAGACOUNTRY

He can climb steep hill into election season — while by his own standards he still hasn't even lost the last election, or taken the 1 before that he'd lost, as well, into matter of consideration. We'll watch a hobby president live well by rights we give him+ get economic disaster

All of us who give a true flying fig about this country need to keep our wits about us, never stoop to someone else's low levels, and avoid giving in to the criticism that we're going too far in trying to right the ship of state. We can do this and do it correctly.

Over emphasizing analysis to indicate a wish. Here is another one. Trump goes into election unopposed and further than any incumbents.

Oh - can't read this 'analysis' unless I buy a subscription. It's all about the Benjamins baby. This is nothing more than infotainment for sale - not journalism gop

Keeping campaign promises gives him the edge

Trump will win with more Electoral College votes than in 2016. Anyone care to take that bet?

Dream on losers! Trump will win 2020 by a LANDSLIDE!!

Just like Regan who had similar poll numbers due to similar media misinformation campaigns, Trump will easily win in 2020.

According to WP 😂 laughable

Never in our history have 4 straight presidents won re-election

He doesn't even have an opponent yet, what are you rambling about

FAKE NEWS!

Let's not get our hopes up too early again, shall we?

Gee I wonder why...

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Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »

Analysis | ‘I disagree’: How Trump keeps undermining his own administrationFor two years, it has been a game of they said, he says. Now in year three, President Trump is still openly contradicting his top officials. 'I'm President. You're not.' That's how it works Wapo. Tell Langley while you're at it. Some highlights: I've worked with people like this before. Everybody in the company is an idiot and if I had the time, I'd do the job myself.
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »

Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz just straight-up threatened Michael CohenLess than 24 hours before former Trump fixer Michael Cohen is scheduled to appear in an open hearing to discuss his relationship with the President of the United States and shed light on his involvement in a hush money scheme involving two women alleging they had affairs with the billionaire businessman, Florida Republican Rep. Matt Gaetz directly threatened Cohen via Twitter. CillizzaCNN Matt, when r u going 2 sit down with ur 2X divorced, 3X married, 3X adulterer, video taped self confessed sexual predator, racist, tax & biz cheat, fraud, pathological liar Prez about his unchristian values/morals. Isn't it ur obligation as a Christian 2 proselytize to heathens? CillizzaCNN Matt Gaetz... He's Grossly Rude.. jentaub CillizzaCNN Per instructions from Vietnam? Part of the peace/denuclearization process?
Source: CNN - 🏆 4. / 95 Read more »

Pressure on Trump at Korean summit is extraordinary - so is potential for progress: ANALYSISI’d like to remind everyone, especially the GOP, that the President of the United States is currently praising a “Perverted Dictator” that tortures, rapes and kills people at will in his own country “just because he wants to”. The entire world is watching in horror! KimTrump Demo want President Trump to fail because they would rather have a nuclear war with NK than to admit POTUS' success. Matt Gaetz is a licensed attorney in Florida. His Bar Number is 48962. He violated 18 U.S.C. § 1512. He could be charged with a felony for witness tampering but this is also grounds for disbarment. Feel free call the Florida Bar and file an official complaint. 1-866-352-0707
Source: ABC - 🏆 471. / 51 Read more »

Analysis | Trump and Republicans are trying to paint Democrats as radical on abortionAnalysis: Trump and Republicans are trying to paint Democrats as radical on abortion trying? have you read the bill? seriously...'trying'? as though effort were required They are doing this themselves. Saying you want to kill children AFTER they are born sounds pretty radical to me
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »

Cohen is bent on revenge as Trump pulls an all-nighter in HanoiPresident Donald Trump's ex-lawyer Michael Cohen will unleash a stunning indictment of his former client Wednesday that will amount to one of the strongest rebukes of a sitting President in living memory. StCollinson I bet the orange one himself realDonaldTrump is shaking in his Gucci’s in Hanoi StCollinson StCollinson
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Analysis | Did Ivanka Trump create ‘millions’ of jobs?President Trump bragged that his daughter has created millions of jobs. That's not correct. Yes. In China. no Get real.
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Analysis | Power Up: 'The answer is yes:' Cohen plans to say Trump knew of WikiLeaks email dumpAnalysis: Cohen plans to say Trump knew of WikiLeaks email dump Cohen is “a fine person with a wonderful family” who is a “businessman for his own account/lawyer who I have always liked & respected.” -- donald j. trump, April 2018 yo
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Analysis | Michael Cohen’s explosive opening statement about Trump, annotatedAnalysis: Michael Cohen’s explosive opening statement about Trump, annotated Analysis: The DeepState (Shadow Government) is working tirelessly to undermine President Trump's diplomacy & foreign policy with Nuclear-capable North Korea Tell us more about how there is not a DEEP STATE... Slimy? Yes. Criminal? No.
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »

Analysis | How Trump’s net worth suddenly jumped — and why Cohen’s testimony about it raises problemsAnalysis: Michael Cohen accuses Trump of giving inflated financial documents to a bank He's trying to save his own ass can't believe anything he says. oh so MichaelCohen knew it too 😮 Yeah. But that's not actually new is it?
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