Joe Biden greets audience members May 1 during a rally in Iowa City. By Philip Bump Philip Bump National correspondent focused largely on the numbers behind politics Email Bio Follow May 6 at 1:31 PM In the past two weeks, there’s been a divergence in the Democratic presidential primary field. Former vice president Joe Biden has surged in recent polling while Sen. Bernie Sanders has seen his support slacken.
The CNN poll asked Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents exactly what traits they thought were most important in a candidate. More than 90 percent said that electability was at least a very important trait. Nearly half said it was extremely important. Last week we pointed out the flaws in this sort of projection. The best example of how iffy “electability” forecasting can be came in September 2011. At that point, former Texas governor Rick Perry was riding high in the polls and was seen as the most electable Republican candidate by a wide margin in Washington Post-ABC News polling. One disastrous debate performance later, his support and the perception of his electability plunged.
The only place where Biden had a marked advantage was among independents. So did Trump in 2016, then going on to lose the popular vote. So did Mitt Romney in 2012. Harris offered an effective and accurate argument rebutting this version of 2020 in a speech Sunday night. This is a broadly underappreciated point. In 2016, millions of people who’d cast a ballot for Barack Obama in 2012 ended up not voting. Over a third of them, according to research published last year, were black.
With so many Dems splitting the ticket they will end up as Biden or Bernie, like it or not, just like the GOP got Bone Spur. So its not misreading 2016, it's math.
It seems that media forgets that national polls are inconsequential in an electoral college system
It sure as hell doesn’t look like it from today’s new poll
Might want to read 2018.
I think that the next Democratic nominee hasn't announced yet.
Status quo joe
We can assume that everyone who thought Hillary could win is wrong. Can’t let them hand Trump a reelection
The love it when you think you know what Democrats want. Biden2020 BidenHarris
He is their best chance. He’s the only actual democrat in a field of radical leftists.
This absolute nonsensical idea that Bernie would win against trump
We been saying this shit before 2016....check my tweets on these political sites....I seen the Dem strategy a mile away...running Biden for the 'Obama minority vote'..wtf makes you think we don't smell the social funk on Joe Biden 🤔...🤦🏿♂️ToneDeafDems
Whatever , I am still voting for him
DIMMs can field whomever they will still lose ! DIMMs Hav done NOTHING in the two and half years other than try redo the 2016 election result ! Sadly their god Mueller didn’t deliver either !And to top it all TRUMP Has the best economy,jobs, trade, security etc etc ! TRUMP2020
It’s very simple. People in the swing states want what corporate democrats won’t give. They’ll lose with any Wall Street approved candidate.
Biden is the best realDonaldTrump cheerleader
Many Americans see Biden as the guy they want to fix the mess Trump has created.
America, take it from me, they don't care who you choose, they will thwart whatever you really want, take it from me I voted Brexit, and they wont even carry out what they were told. When you elect Trump, they just trashed him, that no one really took notice to laws and policy.
Yes, Joe Biden is not a winner. Bernie Sanders is stronger but I think it will end with that Kamala Harris represent the Dems
Democrats are also not celebrating the wide field as diversity. Whoever the Dems are paying to develop strategy is overpaid.
that's all because of fake news medias keep misleading the people.
Bernie2020
We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:
United States Latest News, United States Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Analysis | The Trailer: What we learned about Biden 2020In this edition: Joe Biden on the trail, big labor on the fence, and the positive campaign pledge that lets candidates go negative (sort of). All that matters: Biden will beat Trump Miss Lippy's car is green. The media and candidates are definitely re calibrating after the latest polling.
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »
Mike Pence accuses centrist Joe Biden of 'advocating a socialist agenda' like other 2020 DemocratsPence also appeared to lash out at Biden for his recent comments downplaying China's economic threat in a CNBC interview. THE REPUBLI-CONS HAVE DEMONIZED THE WORD 'SOCIALISM' FOR 90 YEARS, TRY RUNNING THIS COUNTRY WITHOUT SOCIALISM. THE MILITARY IS THE BIGGEST SOCIALIST PROGRAM THERE IS.!! Would love to see The Pres and his peeps tout their own accomplishments instead of attacking their opponents. They have some good stuff going, right? One wouldn't think so at this point. As opposed to his theocratic fascist one right?
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
Analysis | Trump’s latest punt on confronting Putin about 2016 is a big oneThis may seem like nitpicking. It's important to emphasize that Trump continues to minimize Russian interference in the election to this day. Washington post is obsessed with trump Democrats hearing about the phone call:
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »
Joe Biden opens 2020 campaign on home turf: a Pennsylvania union hallJoe Biden flashes his political calling card Monday when he holds his first presidential campaign rally at a Pennsylvania union hall. He believes he can win with support from blue-collar workers in the industrial states that other candidates can't get. The benefit of positive thinking is everything Trump is horrible! How dare he free the Dems’ army of government hand out slaves with jobs? How dare he bolster the economy so that retirees can live more comfortably? He’s horrible i tell you! What in the Hell is he talking about? Sleepy Joe was the VP for 8 years where O'Bama eliminated The Middle Class Donald J Trump is rebuilding it!
Source: latimes - 🏆 11. / 82 Read more »
Biden dominates digital ad spending after entering 2020 raceJoe Biden made an aggressive early investment in digital advertising after announcing his 2020 presidential campaign, spending nearly $800,000 on Facebook and Google ads in less than a week in the race while dwarfing the rest of the field, according to data from both tech companies. Big money Because that's what it's all about...
Source: CNN - 🏆 4. / 95 Read more »
A decades-old feud looms over Biden and Warren in 2020Joe Biden stormed into the Democratic primary with a laser focus on the man he wants to sweep out of the White House next year. Is Pocahontas really shaking Creepy Crazy Joe's hand or is this a wax figure as he is not even looking at her. She is making the rounds though! She wanted him to smell her hair and creepy joe declined?
Source: CNN - 🏆 4. / 95 Read more »
Joe Biden attacks Trump in 2020 kickoff pitch to blue-collar AmericansFormer vice president Joe Biden held his first major public campaign event at a Teamsters banquet hall in Pittsburgh on Monday. Creepy Joe!! 🤣 I kinda was hoping Biden would simply take Trump behind the gym. Hide them children folks uncle Joe is coming to molest them all
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »
Why Biden is off to a strong start for 2020MSNBC's David Gura and a panel of guests discuss whether Dems should shift strategies for 2020. 😂🤣 eh, you're biased Fact check: TRUE!
Source: MSNBC - 🏆 469. / 51 Read more »
Donald Trump is doing a terrible job disguising his worries about facing Joe Biden in 2020Before 6:30 a.m. on the East Coast Wednesday morning, President Donald Trump had retweeted more than five dozen(!) comments mostly from accounts claiming to be firefighters -- or family members of firefighters -- praising him and attacking the International Association of Fire Fighters and their recently endorsed candidate for president Joe Biden. CillizzaCNN realDonaldTrump right now is the equivalent of Kim Kardashian wearing mirrored sunglasses during celebrity poker tournament CillizzaCNN Again.... opinion versus fact. Do your job. Stick to the news. You are a major fail. CillizzaCNN
Source: CNN - 🏆 4. / 95 Read more »
Joe Biden calls for $15 minimum wage, Medicare public option at first 2020 campaign stopBiden's remarks at his first 2020 campaign stop echoed previous speeches that paired attacks on President Trump with calls for greater worker dignity. Pressure would include better policies, not half assed versions of progressive ones. Interesting. Biden seems to want to shed his 'moderate' pedigree. How exactly is that upping pressure on progressive democratic rivals? A 'Medicare public option' is not the progressive policy position.
Source: USATODAY - 🏆 100. / 63 Read more »
Trump is 'taking the bait' as Biden kicks off his 2020 campaignAshley Parker of The Washington Post joins to explain how Trump is 'spoiling for a fight' with Joe Biden as the Democrat holds his first campaign rally of the 2020 campaign. Trump always takes the bait Let’s Go Biden !!! Beat Corrupt “Donald Putin” !!! Shows how seasoned Biden is, successfully baiting Trump and winning.
Source: MSNBC - 🏆 469. / 51 Read more »