Analysis: Iran's nuclear policy of pressure and talks likely to go on even after president's death

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Israel-Hamas War,International Agreements,Tehran

While Iran’s nuclear program stands at the precipice of tipping over into enriching uranium at weapons-grade levels, Tehran has held quiet, indirect talks with the United States and invited the head of the United Nations’ atomic watchdog into the country for negotiations.

In this photo provided by Fars News Agency, mourners try to touch the coffins of Iran ian President Ebrahim Raisi , top, Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian, left, and Raisi’s chief bodyguard Gen. Mehdi Mousavi, who were killed in a helicopter crash on Sunday in a mountainous region of the country’s northwest, during a funeral ceremony at the city of Tabriz, Iran , Tuesday, May 21, 2024.

The Islamic Republic also appears to be trying to contain the risk it faces from the U.S. after launching anon Israel amid its war on Hamas in the Gaza Strip. The assault — a response to a suspected Israeli strike on April 1Sunday that killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian and other officials on a foggy mountain. That’s largely due to the fact that all matters of state rest with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Then Raisi, a protégé of Khamenei, won the 2021 presidential election in a vote that saw his main rivals barred from running and a record-low turnout for the race. Those policies continued — as did Iran’s support for regional militias like Yemen’s Houthi rebels, nowmoving through the Red Sea over the Israel-Hamas war. Those groups have long provided Iran with a means to challenge its regional archenemy Israel, as well as the U.S., without a direct military confrontation.

The Israel-Hamas war, as well as the risk of it expanding into a regional confrontation, has changed some of this calculus, however. The survival of the “nezam,” or “system” as Iran’s Shiite theocracy is known, remains the paramount concern. The risk of open warfare, as well as the economic pressure squeezing Iran and its people, have made efforts to try to restart the diplomacy — or at least alleviate the risk of things getting even worse — that much more important.

Israel-Hamas War International Agreements Tehran General News Middle East War And Unrest Donald Trump United Nations World News Ebrahim Raisi United States Government Iran Government Politics Ali Khamenei I Mohammad Khatami Hamas

 

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