Analysis | If there is rain at the 2019 Kentucky Derby, this 12-1 long shot could win it all

  • 📰 washingtonpost
  • ⏱ Reading Time:
  • 61 sec. here
  • 3 min. at publisher
  • 📊 Quality Score:
  • News: 28%
  • Publisher: 72%

United States Headlines News

United States Latest News,United States Headlines

Analysis: If there is rain at the 2019 Kentucky Derby, this 12-1 long shot could win it all

Horses get baths after a workout at Churchill Downs. By Neil Greenberg Neil Greenberg Reporter analyzing advanced sports statistics for The Washington Post Email Bio Follow May 2 at 11:43 AM The Kentucky Derby has been run over a sloppy or muddy track five times over the last decade, including last year when Justify earned the first jewel of his Triple Crown.

His pedigree looks very good on paper. His sire, Hat Trick, is a Group 1-winning miler in Japan and Hong Kong by 1989 Kentucky Derby winner Sunday Silence. His dam’s sire, Smarty Jones, winner of the 2004 Kentucky Derby over a sloppy track, boasts a 17 percent win rate among his offspring on wet tracks. Win Win Win also inherited a lot of speed from these two horses — his dosage index of 4.

Putting Win Win Win’s troubled trip aside, his performance in the Blue Grass Stakes was impressive. Keeneland is a speed-favoring track, so Win Win Win’s ability to close into a fast pace is notable. Plus, he set a new career pace top in that outing which typically foreshadows a step forward in a horse’s next race.

“He’s a seriously nice horse,” Pimentel told Joe Clancy, editor and publisher of thisishorseracing.com. “When he won going seven-eighths at Tampa, the question was always if he could run longer. Now it looks like he can run all day. He has done everything right even though he hasn’t won again. He’s been running at the end. That shows that he’s a nice horse. At Keeneland, you check a horse like that and sometimes they don’t come back. They give up. It’s nobody’s fault, it happens.

 

Thank you for your comment. Your comment will be published after being reviewed.
Please try again later.

His father was a mudder..

He’s a mudder. And his mother was a mudder

Now you are 'bookies'?

We have summarized this news so that you can read it quickly. If you are interested in the news, you can read the full text here. Read more:

 /  🏆 95. in US

United States Latest News, United States Headlines

Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.

Analysis | Here is the Bob Baffert horse that will win the Kentucky DerbyThis year’s Run for the Roses is gearing up to be one of the most wide-open in recent memory. After all those horses that 'broke down' and had to be euthanized at Santa Anita this year, I can't watch. I wonder how many of these will wind up at the horse rescue farm I work at near Ocala, FL where derby horses are trained. People would be shocked at the files we have full of previous winners that ended up being neglected & starved after they're no longer useful as race horses. Kamenzie
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »

How to bet and win money (hopefully) at the 2019 Kentucky DerbyThe 2019 Kentucky Derby is almost here, so here's everything you need to know before placing your bets so you can (hopefully) win some money.
Source: USATODAY - 🏆 100. / 63 Read more »

Kentucky Derby: Omaha Beach is made the favorite after drawing No. 12 postPost positions were drawn for the 145th running of the Kentucky Derby on Tuesday. Omaha Beach drew the 12 post and was made the 4-1 favorite.
Source: latimes - 🏆 11. / 82 Read more »

Kentucky derby hats can cost up to $1,000–here's what it's like to shop for oneSome Kentucky Derby racegoers drop up hundreds, and sometimes thousands, of dollars to land the perfect hat. Here's what happened when I spent an afternoon shopping for one in Manhattan, NYC. MakeIt MakeIt Cool I really love dressing up like a mushroom with arms and legs !!! These hats just look impractical and stupid !! MakeIt $1,000 to look this cool? Sign me up.
Source: CNBC - 🏆 12. / 72 Read more »

Kentucky Derby favorite Omaha Beach scratched from raceKentucky Derby favorite Omaha Beach has been scratched from Saturday's first leg of horse racing's Triple Crown because of a respiratory disease, race organizers said Wednesday on Twitter. What about the other two legs? They push these horses too hard. Try thinking of the horse instead of the purse.
Source: CNN - 🏆 4. / 95 Read more »

Kentucky Derby post position trends: There’s magic in the middleThe horses that break from Gates 5-16 usually have the most success. EndAnimalSports Please don’t promote horse racing. Very cruel sport that kills thousands of horses a year via track deaths and slaughter. DontWatchtheDerby
Source: washingtonpost - 🏆 95. / 72 Read more »

In a neglected cemetery lie black jockeys who helped create the Kentucky DerbyTucked off a quiet two-lane road in Lexington, you’ll find African Cemetery No. 2, the burial site of many of Kentucky’s first — yet least remembered — jockeys and horse trainers. kurtisalee ICYMI: its asian-american month....... and february 2019 is gone. there is more than one minority in America, WORK ON YOUR BIAS.......because your tweets look more like racial discrimination against asians.. kurtisalee zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz kurtisalee Black lives matter
Source: latimes - 🏆 11. / 82 Read more »

What happens in the Kentucky Derby now that favorite Omaha Beach has been scratched?With morning line favorite Omaha Beach being scratched with an entrapped epiglottis, it changes the entire outlook for Saturday's Kentucky Derby. fonzanoons go to the Derby.
Source: USATODAY - 🏆 100. / 63 Read more »

16 of the Best Bourbons (And 3 Superb Ryes) for Kentucky Derby SeasonThere’s no better way to enjoy the most exciting two minutes in sports than with a bourbon or mint julep in hand. (And if you’re so inclined, a rye.) Here are 19 solid bottle options to choose from—as curated by Robert Cate of Coppin’s in Hotel Covington. 👍👍👍👍👍👍
Source: Forbes - 🏆 394. / 53 Read more »

A Behind-The-Scenes Look At The Official 145th Kentucky Derby MenuThis year’s official Kentucky Derby menu has a complementary at-home menu for viewing parties
Source: Forbes - 🏆 394. / 53 Read more »

The definitive (and totally arbitrary) list of best Kentucky Derby horse namesAn arbitrary and arguable list of the best names of Kentucky Derby horses.
Source: USATODAY - 🏆 100. / 63 Read more »