After summer surge, MTA sees ridership flatline for months

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As transit officials contend with plugging pandemic-induced deficits for next year, they must grapple with an unsettling reality: ridership may never fully rebound

01/14/2021 02:37 PM EST and has barely budged from new lows for months.

“Looking into the out years even before the pandemic, the MTA was not on firm financial footing,” said Kate Slevin, a senior vice president at the Regional Plan Association. “And looking into the out years now, there is going to be some difficulty ahead.”Buses, which are largely used by essential workers who must commute, initially lost 75 percent of their usual ridership at the peak of the pandemic. But bus ridership rebounded the fastest, with half returning in June.

Commuter rails saw a similar precipitous drop as subways and have only recorded around 25 percent of riders returning to the system. A worst-case ridership scenario prepared by McKinsey & Company projects the MTA will see a $3.2 billion deficit in 2022, though it’s not entirely clear how it got to that figure.

 

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