One of the more noticeable polling shifts between the last presidential campaign and this one is among Black voters. While they remain overwhelmingly aligned with President Joe Biden, his level of support is lower than in 2020. And Donald Trump’s Black support is often clocking in at levels that would outpace all previous Republican nominees in the modern era.
Breakdowns of Black voters by age are available from several recent polls; and each shows a striking gap between younger and older Black voters: Again, these reflect relatively small sample sizes, although the NBC News and CNN numbers are from “merged data” — datasets that combine the Black voter subsamples from the two national polls that each organization has sponsored this year, doubling the sample of Black voters. The age splits here are consistent and striking.
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