Why relaxing freedoms on June 21 will not come close to overwhelming the NHS

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We should not be eager to go through either of our past two peaks again. But at least we know that the NHS could cope if it really had to.

Do we risk swamping the NHS with Covid-19 cases if the government proceeds with Step 4 on time on June 21st? In the Spring of 2020, there were about 22,000 Covid cases per week admitted to hospital, at the peak.Neither of those occasions produced any British equivalent of the distressing scenes we recently saw in India where hospitals ran out of resources and turned sick people away, with relatives forced to watch their loved-ones die, untreated, in hospital car parks.

 

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It depends on the Delta variant becoming more transmissible and severe.

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