Tories must now be worried just how many seats they might end up with after Nigel Farage swaggered on to...

declare himself new leader of Reform UKis currently polling at around 11 per cent but a survey by my company JL Partners last month suggested a Farage-led Reform would surge by six percentage points.Plus they hoped right-wing voters could be cajoled back into the fold by warning them that if they vote for Reform they will end up with a Labour MP andNow Farage has thrown the cat among the pigeons.

Before the jungle, they thought Farage was just some super-posh, out-of-touch politician but their opinions have changed. They now think he’s relatable. Someone described him in the focus group to me as a friendly sergeant major, which is quite a good way of summing it up.I would expect that number to plummet thanks to the Farage effect.That is as close to God-like status in polling terms as you can get.

Yet he may lose and Reform may fail to win a single seat across the country — and they could still upend the electoral apple cart.If Reform swipes over ten per cent of the Tory vote it may hand a swathe of MPs to Starmer he otherwise wouldn’t have had.With a typical flourish he invited the media to join him in Clacton today, promising that the seaside town has a great Wetherspoons.At his press conference he railed: “Nothing in this country works any more.“The health service doesn’t work.

It won’t come to that but the Tories must now be seriously worried just how many seats they might end up with.With Starmer tacking to the centre, the Prime Minister will need more policies to appeal to voters on the Tories’ right flank.

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