Fears are mounting that a host of Tory big beasts face 'Portillo moments' on July 4 after a trio of mega-polls.
There are claims that CCHQ is diverting funding to ultra-safe seats in a desperate bid to avoid a complete meltdown in a fortnight's time. Amid the turmoil cabinet minister Michael Gove tried to install a sense of calm as he toured broadcast studios this morning. One cabinet minister told The Times: 'Colleagues are understandably concerned about their area but some of these projections are beyond people's wildest nightmares.'
Meanwhile, the Savanta poll found Suella Braverman would be forced out, alongside Mr Sunak. Liz Truss is also at risk. It comes as some who had their sights set on replacing Mr Sunak, should the Tories be defeated, have now seemingly bowed out of the race. One figure close to the former home secretary told The Times she had 'fallen by the wayside' following her regular public interventions, that colleagues saw less in the long-term interests of the party and more as an act of self-service by Ms Braverman.Other contenders to replace Mr Sunak include Kemi Badenoch, the business and trade secretary, former home secretary Priti Patel and Tom Tugendhat, the security minister.
There is some variation between the MRP polls by YouGov, Savanta and More in Common, but here are the big beats who could be out of the Commons:The third MRP published last night, conducted by More In Common, found the Tories could end up with just 155 seats after July 4, with Sir Keir coasting into No10 with 406 Labour MPs.
'Labour on the other hand look set to inherit a historic majority while still remaining largely undefined in the eyes of the electorate.' It also found the Conservatives could be reduced to just one seat in Wales, where Labour were shown to be on course to win 26 out of 32 seats. Panicking Tories have been urging Mr Sunak to attack Mr Farage head-on, rather than trying to ignore the existential threat Reform poses.
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