The Miscalculations and Missed Opportunities that Led Putin to War in Ukraine

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U.S. presidents missed opportunities that shaped Putin's increasingly hostile worldview and led him to invade Ukraine, writes Philip Short

on New Year’s Day, 2000, to congratulate him on his appointment as acting President, Putin told him: “There are certain issues on which we do not agree. However, I believe that on the core themes we will always be together.” Clinton was equally upbeat. Putin, he said, was “off to a very good start.”

The result was a growing sense among the Russian elite that Putin was being played. Vladimir Lukin, who had been Yeltsin’s first ambassador to the U.S., protested: “One sided steps cannot be taken forever . . . Decisions should go both ways. They should not end just in smiles and encouragement.” There was grumbling, not only in the army and navy but also within the Presiden­tial Administration, at what was termed a “policy of concessions” which brought Russia no tangible benefit.

On the surface, the relationship remained correct. But there were worrying undercurrents. Bush’s administration, Putin felt, wanted to keep Russia down and was prepared to go to almost any lengths to do so. Whether, or to what extent, that was true was almost beside the point. What mattered was perception, and the leaders’ perceptions of each other’s goals were starting to diverge.

There was another more personal reason for Putin’s reluctance to abandon the rapprochement with the West. In trying to promote cooperation with Russia’s former adversaries, he had overridden the reservations of many of his closest colleagues. Thethe state bureaucracy and the military had been dubious from the outset about the wisdom of trusting Western governments to engage with Russia as genuine partners. Putin was in no hurry to admit that they had been right and he had been wrong.

The decision to grant asylum to Edward Snowden in 2013 and the ban on Americans adopting Russian children were payback for the Magnitsky Act, which allowed America to impose sanctions on Russian officials suspected of corruption or human rights abuses. Over the course of his third term, Putin’s thinking about Russia’s relationship with the West crystallised, forming, in his mind at least, a coherent picture of all that had happened in the 25 years—the “wasted years,” as he now put it—since the Soviet Union’s demise.

What would America have done, Putin wondered, if it had been the other way round—”If Russia had placed missile systems on the U.S.–Mexico border or the U.S.–Canadian border?” The answer was self-evident. When Khrushchev had attempted to install Soviet missiles in Cuba in 1962, the world had been brought to the brink of nuclear destruction and the issue remained so fraught that, 60 years later, the United States continued to subject the island to an economic blockade.

 

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The act of Putin definently out of expired vodka nobody could took the blame He will realize what he commitued after a few years Health wise he doing great eat well and sleeping

The NATO and US sponsored Nazism in Ukraine and the Donbass war that Nazi Ukraine unleashed on that region of ethnic origin Russians And of course don't forget what Nuland said: ' f%&k europe ' ... its best NATO Trained Proxy Nazi army has been annihilated ..

My guess is that 4 years of GOP presidential kissing up to him contributed to a growing sense of overconfidence.

To back to the minsk agreement - the answer lies in there why Putin was provoke and anything else said I'd just part of the usual media propaganda becoming with time laughabke

It started with Obama. He made US looks weak. My opinion though

Yeah, this was probably the best article written on this topic. Very insightful!

Not the US, but nonsense... let's atleast be clear on that.

THE LAST MAN OF THE WORLD.........

elenash0500 👍👏🔥

? If we had dissolved NATO Ukraine would not be, has not been, the only nation annexed by Russia. This article does not make sense.

Truth is Russia is made up of a bunch of Republicans and everyone already knows all Republicans are Pedophiles that's why they accuse Democrats of that because it's always the opposite of what it looks like and sounds like

Putin is a KGB baby. His entire life has revolved around Restoring Russia's 'greatness' and tearing down the USA's. A rabid dog always spins and bites the hand that tries to help.

Stop lying we already know all of the world leaders are working together secretly on purpose during these things China Russia the United States and all of the other countries are just like World Wrestling Entertainment pretending to hate each other while working together

Ze hebben hem onvoldoende psygologisch gefileerd. Had het de US dat wel gedaan dan hadden ze geweten dat hij Tjaristische aspiraties had om zijn gefrustreerd historisch beeld van Rusland als ondergang van een Wereldmacht weer levend te maken. Rusland moest een Wereldspeler worden

но украинцы вернули все на свои места. Путина на парашу, а текущему американскому президенту объяснили что американцам не стоит забывать об РФ

This is the picture the world needs to remember: a megalomaniac mass murderer dwarf who wants to restore the borders of the old Soviet Union by reversing the human evolution.

'Putin is small, pale, cold and almost reptilian.' 'Putin is embarrassed by what happened to his country and determined to restore its greatness.' (Madeleine Albright, appearing to foreshadow the invasion of Ukraine)

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