Republicans' Lessons from Ohio

Republicans also tried and failed this year to make it harder to pass a ballot initiative. Missouri State Rep. Mike Henderson believes the failures in his state and Ohio should be instructive on how to craft these proposals. Instead of Ohio’s proposed 60% vote threshold, he wanted the bar to be closer to 55%; eventually, the Missouri legislation landed on 57%. “60% in Missouri cannot pass. We’ve done polling; we know that people think that’s too high a threshold,” Henderson says.

Moreover, trying to get voters to diminish their own political influence—which is effectively what proposals to make it tougher to pass ballot initiatives would accomplish—is a hard sell. Thethat the size of the vote lead in Ohio"indicates that a sizable number of Republicans voted against" Issue 1, despite it being a Republican-led effort."Voters don't like to have their voting rights taken away," says Hasen.

There is a long history of both parties attempting to restrict the ballot initiative process. But recent years have changed the political dynamics. Athat looked at constitutional amendments to restrict the ballot initiative process from 1960-2022 found that the number of amendments restricting direct democracy has not been unusually high recently. It is, however, more partisan.

worried about Issue-1 style restrictions: “Legislators in Arizona will try to make the process harder," says Hannah Ledford, deputy executive director and campaigns director at The Fairness Project, a left-leaning advocacy group."No question.”

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