NCAA Tournament upset picks: Can Duquesne, Oregon continue the upsets in second round?

Well, that was a hell of a first day, right? Once again, our model caught things that others didn’t, especially regarding the vs. game. Slingshot gave the Golden Grizzlies more than a 19 percent chance of winning, compared to just the 12 percent odds that the moneyline implied. And wouldn’t you know it: The game played out . But we don’t get to analyze another potential Oakland upset because they face 11th-seeded NC State in a game that doesn’t qualify for Bracket Breakers status .

But they’d better not let their guard down because the Dukes have a fighting chance. Tom Izzo talks with Tyson Walker during the second half in the first round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. No. 1 Tar Heels vs. No. 9 Upset Chance: 24.1 percent Spread: North Carolina favored by 3.5 points The analysis for this game is simple. Throw out most of our model for a minute. Just focus on overall team strength. There is not an eight-seed gap between these teams. Not even close.

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