Labour taking 'Tory crown jewel' feels like a momentum shift

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Just as Boris Johnson's Hartlepool by-election win in 2021 was a low point for Sir Keir Starmer - this will feel devastating not just for Andy Street but for Rishi Sunak too.

It was a wafer-thin victory, but a huge win. The symbolism of Labour taking the West Midlands mayor, a jewel in the Tory crown, could be felt in the room as Labour activists gathered in Birmingham to celebrate the win with their new mayor Richard Parker and Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer. There are moments on election journeys when the momentum shifts - and this win felt like one of them. 'We humbly asked to put their trust and confidence in a changed Labour Party and they did.

'It's been our top focus for the past week and symbolically a very important win.' And Labour needed the boost, because, as Professor Michael Thrasher pointed out in his Sky News' national vote share projection calculated from the local election results, Sir Keir was not picking up the sort of vote share that Tony Blair was winning in the run-up to the 1997 Labour landslide.

 

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