Kevin McCarthy's Trump gaffe exposes Republican dilemma

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Trump remains the clear favourite for the 2024 nomination, but many fear he could lose to Joe Biden.

Spare a thought for Kevin McCarthy, the Republican Speaker of the House, who this week is tying himself in pretzels over Donald Trump.

At the moment, however, that alternative doesn't look likely. Indeed, McCarthy's swift, public clean-up operation tells us a lot about Trump's hold on his party. None of those things have ever happened before. And there could be more indictments coming, on whether he tried to steal the election in Georgia and over his role in the 6 January Capitol riot. That's a lot of legal headaches.

As of today there are more than a dozen Republicans running for president. Some are running as the alternate-Trump, some are running as the anti-Trump and some are just trying to ignore him. Polls suggest about half of Republican voters don't love the former president, but for now they are splitting their allegiance pretty evenly between all those other candidates. Divide and conquer was a successful Trump strategy in 2016 - it seems to be working again.

 

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