Keith Law's top 100 MLB prospects, with Diamondbacks' Corbin Carroll at No. 1

Welcome to this year’s ranking of the top 100 prospects in baseball. I’ve been compiling and writing such rankings for 16 years now, and those of you who’ve read them before will find the format here similar to those from the recent past. My farm reports covering at least 20 prospects in each team’s system, and notes on prospects who might appear in the majors this year, or who might be breakout prospects for the 2024 rankings, will appear the week of Feb. 6.

I tend to favor upside in prospects more than certainty, but there is value in both. A player who is all ceiling and no floor isn’t as valuable, in the trade market now or in considering his expected value in the long term, as one who has a somewhat lower ceiling but a much higher floor.

I refer to grades throughout the prospect rankings on the 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is major-league average, 80 is the highest possible score, and 20 is the lowest. I’ll also use similar language, referring to tools that are above or below average , or referring to plus or plus-plus or maybe you should try another line of work .

To be eligible for these rankings, a player must still be eligible for the Rookie of the Year award in 2023, which means they may not have more than 130 at-bats, 50 innings pitched, or 45 days on an active major-league roster heading into this season. Days on the roster in September now count against the rookie threshold, whereas days on the active roster in any September prior to 2020 do not count, a change MLB made to the rookie eligibility rules in 2020.

keithlaw No Colton Cowser means this list isn't legitimate.

keithlaw Keif Law hating the Orioles again for no reason.

keithlaw Keith being so high on Bryce Miller is surprising but also pretty cool.

keithlaw Typical Keith Law Oriole hate. What a hack

nytimes keithlaw Let's see 2019's list

keithlaw I was expecting to see at least 1 of kumar rocker or Brock Porter on here, cant say I agree with both being left off, would’ve liked to see Justin Foscue also

keithlaw Not a very good list. Just a list of the hyped prospects irregardless of how they are playing and progressing.

keithlaw 'In Brazil, everybody has indigenous blood. Some, in their hands. Some, in their veins. Others, in their souls. And others, in thier noble hearts of love and empathy'. (Unknown author).

keithlaw How is Andrew Painter not the top pitching prospect?

keithlaw I could make a better list

keithlaw Painter at 13!?!?

MLB keithlaw The single best line from keithlaw on this, regarding Termarr Johnson. 'He’s still growing, and might end up a little bit taller — he’s already a baller...'

The Dodgers lead the way with eight prospects in keithlaw's Top 100. The Orioles and Guardians are right behind them with six.

keithlaw Painter 13 lmao

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