MATALAM, North Cotabato – When an aggressor is held off for some time, does not make significant progress in terms of gaining territorial grounds, and loses more troops, tanks and other military equipment than the enemy, it is technically losing the war. Russia’s damage may not be as huge as Ukrainian sources suggest, but nonetheless, it was far more than what Putin could have imagined.
In one late night news on CNN, somewhere in early part of the second week of April, it showed that a Russian armored column was moving down a street in Busha, Ukraine . Ukrainian military hit the first one then the last one then moved down the line and destroyed all armored vehicles in between. This is called a “structured” ambush. A lot of vehicles destroyed, and a lot of men killed. This was a perfect tank ambush. Those Ukrainian guys knew what they were doing, the Russians did not.
There is, however, an apprehension on the consequence of defeating Putin’s army on the ground as this might encourage him to deploy and use tactical low-yield nuclear weapons. But Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told CNN that Russia will only use nuclear weapons in case of an “existential threat” to Russia and the Russians. Russia’s military doctrine includes “escalate to de-escalate” principle of launching a small nuclear weapon to regain advantage on the ground.
Second, even with 200,000 soldiers deployed by Russia as attacking force, this is outnumbered by the Ukrainian defending forces with the regular army bolstered by the paramilitary, reserves, armed civilians and volunteer foreign fighters.
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