A global survey of nearly 500 economists taken this month also concluded recent rising inflation in key economies around the world would be transitory.
"Overall, we see the Delta surge as a moderate headwind to global growth, but as new information comes in, we can be persuaded otherwise." Over 70 percent of economists, or 152 of 209, said the current uptrend in global inflation was transitory. While economists expected the Fed to end its bond-buying program by end-2022, with a few more analysts now predicting a rate hike as early as next year, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England were predicted to keep policy unchanged through to the end of next year.
"Vaccination remains the key," noted Vishwanath Tirupattur, strategist at Morgan Stanley. "Risks remain elevated in countries with low vaccine penetration, especially in South and South East Asia, Africa and other EM economies." Brazil's economy was forecast to extend its "jobless recovery" after this year's inflation surge, while prospects for growth in Mexico looked brighter.
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