Thai economy's growth weakest since 2014 as trade war, baht bite

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Thailand’s trade-reliant economy has been hit by slumping exports, a surging currency and cooling tourist arrivals, with a looming delay in the budget after a new government took office last month posing a further risk. FMTNews

The central bank unexpectedly cut its benchmark interest rate earlier this month for the first time in more than four years, and said it sees more room to ease ahead.The economic council cut its full-year growth forecast to 2.7%-3.2% – down from an earlier estimate of 3.3%-3.8% – as the second-quarter pace should be the slowest this year, the council’s deputy secretary-general, Wichayayuth Boonchit, told reporters.

Gareth Leather, senior Asia economist at Capital Economics, said the expansion could slow to 2.5% this year. In addition to the trade war, exports have been hit by gains of nearly 8% in the baht over the last 12 months, making it Asia’s best performing currency tracked by Bloomberg.

 

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