This picture taken on January 27, 2022 and released from North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency on Jan 28 shows what North Korea says is a surface-to-surface tactical guided missile test-fire conducted by the Academy of Defence Science of the DPRK at an undisclosed location. – AFP
As North Korea’s nuclear and missile prowess is proportional to the threat of pre-emptive nuclear attack, South Korea cannot and should not give up on a pre-emptive strike plan. The campaign of the ruling Democratic Party of Korea’s Lee Jae-myung launched blistering criticism and maintained that “there has been no leader who directly and publicly addressed a pre-emptive strike on North Korea.”
The Moon Jae-in administration has incorporated the Kill Chain and the KMPR into a “strategic strike system,” which seeks “deterrence by both denial and punishment to deter and counter omnidirectional, asymmetric threats,” the 2020 Defense White Paper said. The Six-Day War between Israel and neighbouring Arab states in June 1967 is a rare example of such a pre-emptive attack, conducted by Israel. The US invasion of Iraq in 2003 was a preventive war to destroy Saddam Hussein’s purported weapons of mass destruction.
The geographical proximity between the two Koreas imposes a restriction for Seoul in its pre-emptive strike plan. - 123rfThere are multitudinous factors that restrain Seoul’s pre-emptive strike capabilities, including tardy progress in the transfer of wartime operational control. “The stage of making a decision is also greatly instrumental,” Yang said. “This is not just a military determination, but both a military and a political resolution.”
Additionally, North Korea’s pursuit to miniaturise nuclear warheads and develop and variegate dual-capable missiles able to deliver both conventional and nuclear payloads has made it extremely challenging for Seoul to discern whether Pyongyang intends to launch nuclear attacks. Approximately 950 long-range artillery pieces that can reach Seoul with its population of around 10 million people and the surrounding area are deployed near the North’s city of Kaesong.
North Korea’s strategic placing of long-range missiles along its border with China would also aggravate South Korea and the US’ decision-making process.
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